Jeric Brual (ジェリック) · @thejericbrual
1st Dec 2022 from TwitLonger
Final #Jeopardy Wager Theory - Thu. 12/1/2022 (contains spoilers!)
Scores after DJ!
Cris - $27,600
Rob - $14,200
Jeri - $3,900
Suggested FJ! Wager Ranges
Cris - $801 to $6,999
$801 covers Rob's maximum score; $6,999 is Cris' maximum wager to stay above Rob by $2 if he wants to stay above Rob if he opts not to go all in and chooses to stay above Jeri's maximum score.
Rob - $13,401 to $14,198
$2 to $6,399
Rob needs to get FJ! right to win, so he might as well go all in. At the very least, he should wager $13,401 to cover a $0 wager from Cris. Alternatively, Rob can wager up to $6,399 if he wants to stay above Jeri's maximum score.
Jeri - $2 to $3,099
Jeri is playing for 2nd place from her position. If Rob wagers $13,401 and gets FJ! wrong, he'll be left with $799. To stay above this, Jeri should wager no more than $3,099.
Scores after FJ!
Cris: $27,600 + $1,221 = $28,821
Rob: $14,200 + $12,600 = $26,800
Jeri: $3,900 - $100 = $3,800
$12,600 is an ok FJ! wager since it put Rob exactly $1 above Cris if he wagered to cover Rob and got FJ! wrong. But at least $13,401 is preferred since it accomplishes the same thing and the off chance Cris wagers nothing. And in a scenario like this, going all in isn't such a bad idea since you need to get FJ! right to win anyway.